Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#190
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#168
Pace68.8#131
Improvement-0.7#204

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#165
Improvement+0.9#119

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#225
Improvement-1.7#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 32   @ Alabama L 44-64 8%     0 - 1 -5.8 -13.7 +5.7
  Nov 14, 2011 187   Savannah St. W 62-57 62%     1 - 1 +0.3 -8.3 +8.5
  Nov 17, 2011 16   @ Florida L 55-91 5%     1 - 2 -18.7 -16.8 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2011 41   @ Miami (FL) L 62-75 10%     1 - 3 -0.2 +2.2 -4.1
  Nov 21, 2011 2   @ Ohio St. L 50-85 2%     1 - 4 -11.6 -15.8 +7.1
  Nov 23, 2011 214   Wright St. W 69-52 67%     2 - 4 +10.8 +9.6 +4.3
  Nov 25, 2011 333   Jackson St. W 69-60 93%     3 - 4 -8.8 -5.7 -2.5
  Nov 29, 2011 257   Bethune-Cookman W 61-56 76%     4 - 4 -4.1 -17.3 +13.3
  Dec 03, 2011 248   Jacksonville W 80-58 74%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +13.6 +5.0 +9.1
  Dec 11, 2011 21   @ Kansas St. L 68-79 OT 6%     5 - 5 +5.3 -6.0 +13.0
  Dec 17, 2011 140   @ Auburn L 71-84 24%     5 - 6 -7.4 +0.4 -7.1
  Dec 19, 2011 80   @ Virginia Tech L 55-84 15%     5 - 7 -19.5 -10.0 -10.8
  Dec 21, 2011 318   @ Florida A&M W 90-63 75%     6 - 7 +18.5 +7.8 +8.9
  Jan 02, 2012 24   Belmont L 53-83 17%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -21.4 -15.8 -7.6
  Jan 04, 2012 216   Lipscomb W 82-61 68%     7 - 8 2 - 1 +14.6 +5.6 +8.9
  Jan 07, 2012 178   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 88-81 OT 34%     8 - 8 3 - 1 +9.7 +0.9 +7.7
  Jan 09, 2012 260   @ Stetson L 64-68 53%     8 - 9 3 - 2 -6.4 -2.9 -4.0
  Jan 14, 2012 147   South Carolina Upstate L 62-69 51%     8 - 10 3 - 3 -9.0 -5.3 -4.3
  Jan 16, 2012 152   East Tennessee St. L 63-64 52%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -3.1 -2.2 -1.0
  Jan 21, 2012 115   @ Mercer L 58-69 20%     8 - 12 3 - 5 -3.9 -7.3 +2.9
  Jan 23, 2012 314   @ Kennesaw St. W 76-68 73%     9 - 12 4 - 5 +0.0 -1.2 +1.4
  Jan 28, 2012 216   @ Lipscomb W 71-59 42%     10 - 12 5 - 5 +12.4 -9.9 +20.9
  Jan 30, 2012 24   @ Belmont L 69-83 7%     10 - 13 5 - 6 +1.4 -3.9 +6.0
  Feb 04, 2012 260   Stetson W 99-96 77%     11 - 13 6 - 6 -6.2 +13.4 -19.8
  Feb 06, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast W 68-62 60%     12 - 13 7 - 6 +1.9 -3.6 +6.0
  Feb 11, 2012 152   @ East Tennessee St. L 50-65 27%     12 - 14 7 - 7 -10.3 -14.8 +3.3
  Feb 13, 2012 147   @ South Carolina Upstate L 52-77 27%     12 - 15 7 - 8 -20.2 -11.8 -11.3
  Feb 18, 2012 314   Kennesaw St. W 81-77 OT 89%     13 - 15 8 - 8 -10.8 -3.8 -7.2
  Feb 20, 2012 115   Mercer W 75-66 43%     14 - 15 9 - 8 +9.3 +14.2 -3.7
  Feb 24, 2012 248   @ Jacksonville W 70-64 50%     15 - 15 10 - 8 +4.4 -4.2 +8.5
  Mar 01, 2012 152   East Tennessee St. L 66-68 39%     15 - 16 -0.7 -3.2 +2.4
Projected Record 15.0 - 16.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%